Blog

  • 5 Mar 2026 – MNQ 1 Win 3 Losses

    Key takeaways from yesterday’s trading session:

    1. For now, don’t do trailing SL
    2. TP at previous highs or key levels – just scalp and go – don’t be fixated on >1:2RR
    3. If price pullback from key levels, just close
    4. RESPECT KEY LEVELS over FVGs – likely to have liquidity hunts
    5. Small wins (closing earlier) are better than losses made by holding and hoping it will hit my expected TP

    What I did well despite the losses:

    1. I stopped trading breakouts which kinda meant that I would be catching falling knives (bull or bear)
    2. Always wait for pullbacks
    3. FVG entries were rather spot on, although I failed to TP when price reversed

  • Weekly Market Update: What the Markets Are Telling Me This Week

    This past week felt like a market that wants to go higher, but only for traders willing to be selective and patient.

    There’s no panic, no euphoria — just steady rotation and positioning.

    That kind of market often rewards swing traders more than aggressive day traders.

    1️⃣ Stocks: Up, but Not All Together

    Broad markets held up well, but leadership was uneven:

    Major indices stayed firm Some growth and tech names paused Value, dividend, and cyclical stocks quietly outperformed

    📌 What this tells me:

    Money didn’t leave equities — it rotated. This is usually a healthy sign, not a warning signal.

    2️⃣ Rates & Macro: Less Fear, More Waiting

    Interest-rate expectations stabilised last week.

    Marketsokit:

    No fresh inflation scare No sudden rate-hike panic Markets are now waiting for confirmation from data

    📌 Market behaviour like this usually leads to:

    Sideways-to-up price action with frequent pullbacks — perfect conditions for swing trades.

    3️⃣ Energy & Commodities: Quiet Strength

    Energy prices stayed firm, and energy stocks continued to show relative strength.

    📌 Why this matters:

    Energy leadership often appears when markets expect:

    Inflation to stay sticky Growth to remain “good enough”

    These trends usually last weeks, not days.

    4️⃣ Gold: Calm, Not Weak

    Gold didn’t make headlines, but it also didn’t break down.

    📌 My takeaway:

    Gold is acting like insurance — not a momentum trade, but still relevant if volatility returns.

    🔍 Market Structure: What I’m Watching Closely

    Here’s what matters more than headlines right now:

    ✅ Higher Lows

    Markets are pulling back — but not breaking down.

    ✅ Rotation Instead of Selling

    Weakness in one sector is being absorbed by strength elsewhere.

    ⚠️ Event Risk Still Exists

    Upcoming inflation, jobs, and central bank commentary can move markets quickly — but until then, price action is in control

  • RIOT Platforms (RIOT) broke out of the cloud! Are they ready to rise?

    Last night, RIOT broke out of the clouds which stems from its $311 million dollar deal AMD and its strategic shift to become a high-value HPC/Data centric model.

    All indicators from the Ichimoku Cloud suggest that RIOT is moving very bullish right now, although it might be best to wait for a pullback before the entry.

    I will be camping for updates tonight to see if the price movement will pull back to the kumo cloud or to kijun line. I am actually also procrastinating whether i should i just buy in right now. I need to study more on swing trading and pull backs. is it really necessary? because until day trading, pull backs does not seem to happen often for swing trading.

    Lets see how it goes.

  • Weekly Market Recap: What Last Week Told Us — and How I’m Positioning for This Week

    Market Summary: What Happened Last Week?

    Last week was less about big crashes or euphoric rallies, and more about rotation and positioning.

    In simple terms:

    Money didn’t leave the market — it shifted.

    📊 Key Themes from the Past Week

    1️⃣ Stocks Continued Higher, but Leadership Changed

    Global equity markets stayed resilient, with several indices hovering near recent highs. However, leadership rotated:

    • Mega-cap growth and tech paused
    • Value, dividend, industrial, and energy names quietly gained traction
    • Small-cap and cyclical stocks showed relative strength

    This isn’t a risk-off market. It’s a “selective risk-on” environment.

    2️⃣ Interest Rates & Inflation Expectations Stabilised

    Bond yields stopped rising aggressively, and markets appear more comfortable with the idea that:

    • Rates may stay high for longer
    • But additional aggressive hikes are unlikely unless inflation re-accelerates

    This supports equities, but especially stocks with real earnings and cash flow, rather than speculative growth.

    3️⃣ Energy & Commodities Woke Up

    Oil prices moved higher last week on geopolitical concerns and supply-side narratives.

    • Energy stocks responded faster than the broader market
    • Commodity-linked assets attracted short-term traders

    Energy strength often appears late-cycle or during uncertainty — it can persist for weeks, not days.

    4️⃣ Gold Remained Quiet but Relevant

    Gold didn’t explode higher, but it also didn’t break down.

    Gold is behaving like a portfolio hedge, not a momentum trade — useful if volatility spikes.

    🧠 What Last Week Means for This Week

    Based on last week’s price action, here’s how I’m thinking about the coming week:

    ✅ Market Bias: Mildly Bullish, Selective

    • I’m not expecting a straight-line rally
    • I am expecting pullbacks to be bought, especially in strong sectors

    ⚠️ Volatility Risk Still Exists

    Upcoming economic data (inflation, jobs, Fed commentary) can quickly change sentiment.

    That means:

    • Choppy intraday moves
    • Better opportunities for swing trades, not aggressive day trades

  • MTRN Swing Trade Potential – 15 Jan 2026

    Ticker: MTRN
    Company Name: Materion Corporation
    Date: 15 Jan 2026
    Timeframe: Daily (with Weekly context)
    Market: US
    Trade Type: Swing Trade

    Based on the weekly charts, MTRN has broken out of the Kumo since Sep 2025 and it has been raising steadily ever since. Kumo is thick and heading upwards and there is no past price resistance that I am too concerned about.

    Daily charts for MTRN is looking healthy as well.

    • Kumo is getting thicker and heading up
    • Chikou line is not obstructed by previous price movements
    • Wait for price to pullback to Kijun line before committing to the trade

    As the price movement for MTRN was consolidating previously before it broke out, I will wait for Kijun line pullback before I decide to commit to the trade.

  • HYMC Swing Trade Potential – 15 Jan 2026

    Ticker: HYMC
    Company Name: Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation
    Date: 15 Jan 2026
    Timeframe: Daily (with Weekly context)
    Market: US
    Trade Type: Swing Trade

    Based on weekly context, HYMC has been raising steadily since Aug 2025. Trading volumes have been on the raise as well, and it has been trading way about the Kumo (cloud) – no foreseeable obstructions.

    On the daily charts, HYMC has also shown to be rising steadily, making higher highs and higher lows.

    • Kumo is getting thicker and heading upwards
    • Chikou line is well clear of any previous price resistance
    • Currently waiting for price to pullback to Kijun line before heading up again

    However, as HYMC typically have very little pullbacks, I may consider going into the trade once it touches Tekan line.

  • Today’s Market News Explained: What’s Driving Markets & Where Trade Opportunities Are Emerging

    Today feels like a “cautiously optimistic” market.

    Stocks are generally moving higher, but not in an aggressive, euphoric way. It feels more like money is quietly rotating, not rushing in all at once.


    📈 Global Markets Today: What’s Happening?

    Today’s market action can be summed up in one phrase:

    Risk appetite is improving, but traders remain cautious.

    🌍 Global stocks are mostly higher

    • Asian markets are strong, with Japan and parts of Asia hitting fresh highs
    • European stocks are also trading near record levels
    • U.S. markets are mixed as traders wait for key economic data

    📌 Why markets are rising:
    Investors believe economic growth is still holding up, and there is optimism that interest rates may not rise much further.


    🛢️ Oil prices are moving higher

    • Oil prices are rising due to geopolitical tensions and supply concerns
    • Energy markets tend to react quickly to uncertainty in major oil-producing regions

    📌 Why this matters:
    Higher oil prices can push inflation higher, which can affect interest-rate expectations later on.


    🪙 Gold remains in focus

    • Gold is seeing renewed interest as a hedge against uncertainty
    • Traders are balancing risk-on stock markets with protection against volatility

    📌 Gold usually performs well when:

    • Inflation expectations rise
    • Geopolitical risks increase
    • Confidence in central bank policy weakens

    🧠 The Big Picture (Simple Explanation)

    Three forces are driving today’s markets:

    1️⃣ Optimism about growth

    Investors believe the global economy is slowing gradually, not collapsing, which supports stocks.

    2️⃣ Inflation and interest-rate uncertainty

    Markets are still sensitive to:

    • Inflation data
    • Central bank comments on rates

    Any surprise here can move markets fast.

    3️⃣ Geopolitical risk

    Energy and commodities react quickly to political tension, which adds short-term volatility.

  • Gold’s Resurgence: A Hedge Against Uncertainty

    📈 1) Global stocks are rallying

    Asian and global markets are up:

    • Japan’s Nikkei hit record highs, driven by optimism about a possible snap election and expected fiscal stimulus. Yen is weak, which boosts exporters. Reuters
    • Asian indexes including Hong Kong and South Korea are also climbing. AP News
    • European shares reached a record high ahead of critical U.S. inflation data. Reuters

    What this means

    • Equities (stocks) are broadly positive — tech and exporters are strong, cyclical sentiment is improving, and global risk appetite is up.

    🛢️ 2) Oil prices are rising on geopolitical risk

    Oil continues to climb amid concerns about supply disruption from unrest in Iran. Reuters

    What this means

    • Positive for energy stocks / oil producers and ETFs with exposure to energy.
    • Higher oil can push inflation measures higher, which could influence interest rate expectations.

    🪙 3) Gold & diversification stories are gaining traction

    Gold is back in investor discussions as a portfolio hedge during uncertainty (e.g., central bank & Fed narratives, geopolitics). Moneycontrol

    What this means

    • Gold can outperform in periods of risk uncertainty, inflation concerns, or currency weakness.

    ⚖️ 4) Policy & interest-rate headlines are in focus

    There’s news of global central banks rallying behind the Fed Chair amid political pressure — markets see this as inflation/rate policy risk. Moneycontrol

    What this means

    • If central bank credibility weakens or rate policy becomes uncertain, markets may:
      • Favor defensive assets (gold, defensive sectors)
      • Be volatile short-term
      • See rate-sensitive sectors fluctuate

    📌 What’s driving markets right now

    Three big forces today:

    1. Risk tolerance rising
      → Global stocks up, record highs in Japan & Europe
    2. Geopolitical tensions are a wildcard
      → Oil prices rising, safe haven interest in gold
    3. Macro policy uncertainty
      → Fed and central bank messaging is in focus and markets are wary